If you were among the many who were pleasantly surprised that Nkurunziza said he’d bow out, be ready to be disappointed
Uganda is not in danger of renewed civil war or rebel violence, but it risks sliding into a political crisis that could eventually threaten the country’s hard-won stability.
The potential quandary for Kagame is that Rwanda could become his “Hotel California” of which The Eagles famously sung: he can check out, but he can never leave.
In this election Kagame was really not running against Frank Habineza or Philippe Mpayimana. His real competition were three “invisible” candidates – Rwandan history, Rwandan geography, and the Rwandan land.
Human rights violations are “being committed in a more clandestine, but equally brutal, manner” than in the past. The UN predicts Burundian refugees will top 500,000 by the end of the year.